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« on: February 26, 2005, 06:01:48 PM »
As we all remember, I predicted Jamie Foxx would win Best Actor even before Ray opened, but rather than be satisfied with going one-for-one, here are a few more predictions -- feel free to disagree.
Actress -- Imelda Staunton. I'm out on a small limb here; many have hyped this as a Swank/Bening rematch/horserace. And if Being Julia were a better movie, they'd probably give it to Annette this time. I see enough of a split for Staunton to sneak thru, especially if enough voters have seen Vera Drake.
Supp Actor: Morgan Freeman. He's beloved, this is his 4th nom, and the Million Dollar Baby juggernaut (M$B as the trades abbreviate it) seems to be gathering steam at the right time.
Supp Actress: Cate Blanchett. This one's close between her and Virgina Madsen, but this is probably their best way to throw something to Aviator.
Screenplay (Orig): Eternal Sunshine; it's closest competition is Aviator.
Screenplay (Adapted): Sideways better win this one, though if they REALLY love M$B...
Song: Everyone seems to be picking that drippy ballad from Polar Express but my pick, "Accidentally In Love" -- the only Counting Crows song I've ever liked -- was a huge hit. And Shrek 2 ain't winning...
...Animated Film: The Incredibles.
Director: Eastwood. I really think they just like him more than that Scorsese fella from Noo Yawk.
Picture: M$B (I just love typing "M$B"). It's peaking at just the right time, and that ridiculous "controversy" led by Michael Medved (the nelliest heterosexual in America) will actually help.
Oh and I think they'll throw Passion of Mel the Cinematography prize as a see-how-we-love-the-red-states-too statement.
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